Obama won the election and that means he will be the President for four more years. What does this mean for his foreign policy? On the one hand this means stability in US policies towards Afghanistan, the Middle East and Russia. On the other hand there will be major changes in Obama's foreign policy team and there are reports that now the election is over Obama is reconsidering some of his foreign policy strategies. Over the next few months Obama will be focused on budget issues, the so called financial cliff, but early next year pay attention to foreign policy. Issues like Iran, Afghanistan, Russia, and more will be making headlines. For an article on the impact of secretary of state click here. For an update of the reset with Russia (by the way, I think Putin is very happy that Romney did not win) click here.
Tere tulemast Rahvusvaheliste suhete blogi, mida peab TLÜ Riigiteaduste rahvusvaheliste suhete valdkond.
Welcome to the international relations' blog run by Tallinn University IR people
Welcome to the international relations' blog run by Tallinn University IR people
Wednesday, November 14, 2012
Four more years
Obama won the election and that means he will be the President for four more years. What does this mean for his foreign policy? On the one hand this means stability in US policies towards Afghanistan, the Middle East and Russia. On the other hand there will be major changes in Obama's foreign policy team and there are reports that now the election is over Obama is reconsidering some of his foreign policy strategies. Over the next few months Obama will be focused on budget issues, the so called financial cliff, but early next year pay attention to foreign policy. Issues like Iran, Afghanistan, Russia, and more will be making headlines. For an article on the impact of secretary of state click here. For an update of the reset with Russia (by the way, I think Putin is very happy that Romney did not win) click here.
Friday, November 2, 2012
Election time
The US presidential election is almost here. It is still too close to call. This is certainly one of the more exciting elections in recent memory. As you know, the US presidential system is a bit quirky, if you would like to read more about it you can read what I wrote in Delfi here. Currently the candidates are making their closing statements on why they should be chosen. You can read an op-ed on CNN.com by Romney here, and by Obama here. If you want to know what foreign policy challanges the President will be facing over the next four years you can read a recent blog entry by Stephen Walt here. Enjoy the election!
Tuesday, October 2, 2012
Mitt's flawed strategy
US presidential elections are always fun to watch. While I am not an expert on campaign strategy, I can't help but be amazed at Mitt Romney's continual focus on foreign policy. In a recent article it talked about how the Romney team views foreign policy as a key part of their platform. There are really two major risks (and flaws) to this strategy. 1. It makes for an unfocused message. People are asking what does Mitt Romney stand for? What would a Mitt Romney president do? When Mitt is talking about everything people tend to remember nothing. In this type of election Mitt should laser focus only on the economy, which is Obama's weakness and his strength. 2. Obama's foreign policy strategy is impossible to attack from the right. This is not the primaries anymore, Mitt needs to understand that Americans are not excited about another war in the middle east and Americans are not excited to spend obscene amounts of money to counter Russia or China. In the last 20 years the only real threat to America has proved to be terrorism, which has turned out to be Obama's strong spot. Obama has actually been very aggressive towards Iran and Al Qaeda. To attack him from the right would be this argument: we need military intervention in Syria, we need air strikes against Iran, we need to increase spending on defense and we need to stay in Afghanistan until the Taliban (now in Pakistan) is defeated. This is certainly popular with a portion of the population and sounds nice in a primary election, but this won't win in a general election. Romney's best chance would be to ignore foreign policy (hard to do with the recent embassy attacks, but necessary) and focus on economic growth, jobs, and the national debt. As long as Romney continues to focus on foreign policy he will see his poll numbers dropping.
Saturday, September 15, 2012
The Krugman debate that will never end!
I'll be writing in English this year on the blog, hopefully that will be ok with all of our readers. There is a lot going on in the world right now, but perhaps the most amazing of them all is that the Krugman-Estonia spat is still getting media attention! Here is a piece written by Anders Aslund in Foreign Policy attacking Krugman for attacking the Baltic States. While many may think this was a small issue that should be forgotten, the Krugman-Baltic spat is actually a reflection of a much broader argument between the Austrian and Keynesian economic schools. The continuation of this debate is something that I have called for in the past. The outcome of this debate is important for the world which is still in the middle of a financial crisis. Who ever would have thought that Estonia would be the center for a globally important debate? If anyone is interested in more details you can check out the work that Rainer Kattel and Ringa Raudla from TTÜ have been doing here and here. Happy reading!
Tuesday, July 17, 2012
Eestis olla on uhke ja hää
Tihti Eestis on lihtne teha võrdlus Soomega, ja järeldus on see, et palgad on väiked, trammid on vanad ja nii edasi. On alati põhjus kritiseerida valitsus, kas ACTA pärast, või skandaali pärast. Siiski Eestis on päris hea elada. Siin on huvitav ülevaade kõige kehvamad (most failed states) 60 riiki maailmas. Pärast seda ei ole väga hullu, et palgad on väiked või, et sajab vihma tihti. Eestis olla on ikka uhke ja hää.
Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Iraan ohuna
Hetkel maailma tähelepannu on Süürias, aga Iraani olukord on ikka tähelepannu väärt. Lääne maailma seisukoht on see, et oleks katastrof kui Iraan saaks tuumarelv ja peaksime tegema kõik (või peaegu kõik), et takistada neid tuumarelva saamiseks. Hiljuti kirjutas tundud akadeemik Kenneth Waltz (jah, ta on ikka elus), et oleks hea kui Iraan saaks tuumarelv. Kellel on õigus? Stephen Walt (mu lemmik akadeemik) käsitleb seda küsimus tema uue blogi sissekannes. Kas see oleks nii halb kui Iraanil oleks tuumarelv? Loe ja lisa su arvamus kommentaari osas!
Saturday, June 2, 2012
Kübersõda Iraani vastu
Täna ilmus artikkel mis räägib sellest, mida oleme ammu arvanud, et USA ja Iisrael on alustanud kübersõda Iraani vastu. Vanasti, kui USA tahtis muuta teise riigi käitumist, olid selleks majanduslikud sanktsioonid ning sõjaväeline rünnak, nüüd tänu tehnaloogiale on kolmas valik - küberrünnak. Aga mis on selle rünnaku tagajärjed? Kuidas peaks Iraan tulevikus siis käituma pärast rünnakut?
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